Christmas traffic to peak on Friday

New research suggests a staggered spread of getaway traffic throughout this week, peaking towards the weekend as large volumes of everyday commuter traffic combine with people making leisure journeys. 

Consequently, the a study of drivers’ travel plans and congestion forecasts conducted by the RAC and Inrix reveals that Thursday (December 20) and Friday (December 21) are likely to be some of the worst days with 2.5 million and 2.8 million individual journeys expected to be taken respectively.

Data from Inrix indicates Wednesday through to Friday will see some significant congestion on major roads, with drivers travelling on the M25, M6 and M40 all likely to face long delays.

On Thursday, delays of up to three hours are expected on one section of the northbound M6, while on Friday part of the southbound M40 could see drivers queuing for more than an hour and a half.

However, when it comes to pure leisure journeys over Christmas, traffic is likely to peak on Boxing Day when some 6.8 million individual trips will be made as drivers cross the country to see family and friends, followed by next Thursday (December 27) when 4.4 million journeys are expected to be taken.

Highways England, meanwhile, will lift more than 200 miles of roadworks in time for the festive getaway.

To help journeys flow more smoothly and to keep disruption to a minimum, it says more than 97% of motorways and strategic A roads will be roadworks-free in time for Christmas, meaning motorists and hauliers alike can get on with last-minute shopping and delivery journeys with as little disruption as possible.

Where it is safe to do so, roadworks will be lifted or suspended on England’s motorways and major A-roads by 6am on Friday 21 December until 12.01am on Wednesday 2 January (full list below).

Highways England’s customer service director, Melanie Clarke, said: “We’re doing everything we can to make journeys as smooth as possible for this Christmas getaway and that’s why we’re keeping more than 97% of our road network free from roadworks.

“We know that the Christmas period is one of the busiest times on our roads and we’d also like to remind people about the importance of checking their vehicle before setting off on their journeys. 

“Simple things like checking your fuel and oil levels, tyre pressures and that all lights are working properly, can keep you moving and the network flowing."

The RAC says that anticipated jams will be compounded by extensive disruption to the rail network – both planned and unplanned – that could force more people onto the roads.

Strikes are likely to affect routes run by Northern Rail and South Western Railway, and Network Rail is planning extensive engineering work on lines running into major stations including London Paddington and Victoria.

RAC Patrol of the Year Mark Souster said: “The run-up to Christmas is traditionally a very busy time on the roads and for us as Patrols, and 2018 looks to be no exception – although our data suggests drivers are planning on getting away early in some cases and spreading their journeys across a number of days, which would certainly be no bad thing.

Inrix data scientist Joshua Kidd added: “Our data shows that compared to a normal day, Thursday 20th December will see the biggest increase in cars on the road.

“With most drivers setting out mid-morning, traffic will become heavier over the course of the afternoon and stay congested into the evening. But it’s not just those off to see family and friends - commuters, last-ditch shoppers and online deliveries will contribute to clogging the roads.

“Drivers are advised to seek out alternative routes to their destinations and use the latest technology for real-time updates.”

Expected Christmas getaway trips and traffic conditions

Source: Data from the RAC/Inrix 

Roads expected to be worst affected

Planned national rail strikes and major engineering works this Christmas

Roadworks lifted:

A38 Saltash Tunnel

0.25 miles of roadworks lifted

M5 J25-26 (near Taunton)

3.5 miles of roadworks lifted

A419 Cricklade (near Cricklade)

0.6 miles of roadworks lifted

A47 (near Little Fransham between Spicers Corner and Station Road)

0.1 miles of roadworks lifted

J6-8 (near Altrincham)

4.15 miles of roadworks lifted

A1 Newark on Trent-Carlton on Trent (near Newark On Trent)

5 miles of roadworks lifted

A45 M1-Weston Favell (near Northampton)

5 miles of roadworks lifted

A45 Stanwick Lakes Roundabout-Thrapston Roundabout (near Raunds/Thrapston)

5 miles of roadworks lifted

A45 Weston Favell-Wilby Way (near Northampton / Wellingborough)

5 miles of roadworks lifted

A45 Wilby Way-Stanwick Lakes Roundabout (near Wellingborough)

5 miles of roadworks lifted

A5 Old Stratford-Towcester (near Towcester)

1 miles of roadworks lifted

A52 Raynesway (A5111)-Sandiacre(M1) (near Derby)

5 miles of roadworks lifted

M1 Trowell Services-J27 (near Hucknall)

5 miles of roadworks lifted

M62 Jct 33 to Jct 34 (near Pontefract)

4 miles of roadworks lifted

M62 Jct 22 to Jct 24 (near Huddersfield)

3 miles of roadworks lifted

A1T Redhouse to Ferrybridge (near Doncaster / Pontefract)

3 miles of roadworks lifted

M180 J4-J5 (near Scunthorpe)

2 miles of roadworks lifted

Windle edge and Fidlers Green (near Barnsley)

0.3 miles of roadworks lifted

A64 High Hutton to Malton (near Malton)

1 miles of roadworks lifted

A64 Tadcaster Ings (near Tadcaster)

1 miles of roadworks lifted

M5 J25-J26 (near Taunton)

3.5 miles of roadworks lifted